A Bihar-type Mahagathbandhan could have restricted BJP to 111 seats in UP

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Mumtaz Alam, Ghazanfar Abbas, IndiaTomorrow.net,
New Delhi, March 14: Yes, it’s true if one goes by the votes polled by Bahujan Samaj Party, Samajwadi Party and Congress. It’s true that BJP has written a new history in Uttar Pradesh elections by winning 312 Assembly seats alone – thanks to its matured social engineering and caste-based alignments and well-calculated and fully-controlled communal polarization. But a grand alliance of major non-BJP parties – on the pattern of Bihar’s Mahagathbandhan in the 2015 Assembly polls – could have successfully countered BJP and ‘Modi wave’ in Uttar Pradesh also.

In the UP Assembly elections 2017, BJP got just 39.7% of the total votes but bagged more than 77% of the total Assembly seats (312 out of 403 seats). While BSP, SP and Congress got 50.2% vote share, they could win only 63 seats, that is just 15% of the total Assembly seats.

Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections Results 2017
Party
Vote Share
Votes Polled
BJP
39.7%
3,44,03,039
BSP
22.2%
1,92,81,352
SP
21.8%
1,89,23,689
Congress
6.2%
54,16,324

A deep study of the results of 312 seats that BJP won reveals that the party was able to win 201 of those seats just because of huge division of votes between BSP, SP and Congress.

Party
Seats won
Seats in case of Mahagathbandhan
BJP
312
111
SP
47

201+63=264
BSP
19
Congress
07

It means a matured grand alliance (Mahagathbandhan) between BSP, SP and Congress could have easily restricted BJP to around 100 seats.

But at the same time, in case of any such grand alliance, BJP would have worked harder on winning strategies and the results would be complicated, not as simple as they are today.

While SP and Congress had formed an alliance, they did a friendly fight at least on 11 seats – and on 8 of them BJP succeeded. On four of those 8 seats (marked red in table below), BJP won just because of division of votes between none other than SP and Congress themselves.

The way Prime Minister Narendra Modi and BJP president Amit Shah has successfully flattened political rivals in India’s largest state, a pre-poll grand alliance between major non-BJP parties facing existential crisis is must.

BJP won 201 seats due to huge division of votes between BSP, SP, Congress
Sl. No.
Constituency
Votes Polled by BJP
Votes Polled by SP-Congress Alliance
Votes Polled by BSP
1
Agra Cantt.
113178
64683
66853
2
Akbarpur Raniya
87430
58701
45761
3
Alapur
72366
59853
58591
4
Aliganj
88695
74844
46275
5
Aligarh
113752
98312
25704
6
Allahabad West
85518
60182
40499
7
Amethi
64226
59161
30175
8
Aonla
63165
59619
54192
9
Atrauli
115397
64430
45041
10
Aurai
83325
63546
49059
11
Auraiya
83580
39201
51718
12
Baberu
76187
51693
53886
13
Babina
96713
79876
42614
14
Bachhrawan
65324
43015
33582
15
Badaun
87314
70847
32641
16
Badlapur
60237
57865
46545
17
Bah
80567
46885
57427
18
Baheri
108846
63841
66009
19
Bahraich
87479
80777
36325
20
Bairia
64868
47791
27974
21
Bakshi Ka Talaab
96482
78898
74995
22
Balamau
74917
43507
52029
23
Balrampur
89401
64541
26011
24
Bangermau
87657
59330
44730
25
Bansgaon
71966
44051
49093
26
Bansi
77548
58606
35425
27
Bara
79209
45156
37052
28
Bareilly Cantt.
88441
75777
14239
29
Barhaj
61996
50280
27761
30
Barhapur
78744
68920
50684
31
Basti Sadar
92697
50103
49538
32
Balthara Road
77504
59185
47297
33
Bhadohi
79519
78414
56555
34
Bharthana
82005
80037
61838
35
Bhognipur
71466
48181
52461
36
Bhojipura
100381
72617
49882
37
Bhojpur
93673
58796
25838
38
Bhangaon
92697
72400
26041
39
Bidhuna
81905
77995
53366
40
Bijnor
105548
78267
49788
41
Bikapur
94074
67422
49690
42
Bilaspur
99100
76741
39344
43
Bilgram-Mallanwan
83405
75380
51502
44
Bilhaur
102326
60023
71160
45
Bilsi
82070
55091
50848
46
Bisalpur
103498
62502
45338
47
Bisauli
100287
89599
32398
48
Biswan
81907
71672
65040
49
Bithari chainpur
96397
76886
53286
50
Budhana
97781
84580
30034
51
Bulandshahar
111538
24119
88454
52
Caimpiyarganj
91636
58782
39243
53
Chail
85713
45597
43776
54
Chakia
96890
48687
76827
55
Chandausi
104806
59337
51049
56
Chandpur
92345
36531
56696
57
Charkhari
98360
54346
47408
58
Charthawal
82046
58815
47704
59
Chhibramau
112209
72663
74985
60
Chitrakoot
90366
63430
47780
61
Colonelganj
82867
54462
33241
62
Dadraul
86435
69037
50762
63
Dataganj
79110
32243
53351
64
Deoband
102244
55385
72844
65
Dhampur
82169
64305
42836
66
Dhanaura
102943
64714
51952
67
Dhanghata
79572
62663
51938
68
Dhaurahra
79809
76456
54723
69
Dibyapur
71480
59386
51452
70
Doomariyaganj
67227
52222
67056
71
Etah
82516
61387
41937
72
Etawah
91234
73892
43577
73
Faridpur
83656
58935
37680
74
Fatehabad
101960
67596
35050
75
Fatehpur
89481
57983
35548
76
Firozabad
102654
60927
51387
77
Gainsari
55716
53413
46378
78
Garautha
93378
77547
48387
79
Garhmukteshwar
91086
48810
55792
80
Ghosi
88298
59256
81295
81
Gonda
58254
41477
46576
82
Gopamau
87871
56493
49847
83
Gorakhpur Rural
83686
79276
30097
84
Goshainganj
89586
77966
46528
85
Gunnaur
107344
95958
16052
86
Haiderganj
97497
63977
48600
87
Hamirpur
110888
62233
60543
88
Hapur
84532
69526
58806
89
Hargaon
101680
50211
56685
90
Harraiya
97014
66908
39749
91
Hasanpur
111269
83499
51930
92
Hastinapur
99436
48979
63374
93
Husainganj
73595
55002
34415
94
Itwa
59524
46601
49316
95
Jagdishpur
84219
67619
31338
96
Jalesar
81502
61694
35817
97
Jasrana
103426
83098
26274
98
Jaunpur
90324
78040
41877
99
Kadipur
87353
32042
60749
100
Kaiserganj
85212
54117
57849
101
Kalpi
105988
53160
54504
102
Kalyanpur
86620
63278
25706
103
Kanth
76307
73959
43820
104
Kaptanganj
70527
60142
63700
105
Kasta
92824
68551
41778
106
Katra
76509
59779
47471
107
Katra Bazar
92095
61284
55947
108
Kerakat (SC)
84078
68819
66307
109
Khalilabad
72061
28274
56024
110
Khatauli
94771
63397
37380
111
Kithore
90622
79800
62503
112
Kursi
108403
79724
51091
113
Laharpur
79467
67102
70349
114
Lakhimpur
122677
84929
39068
115
Lambhua
78627
47633
65724
116
Lucknow North
109315
82039
29955
117
Lucknow West
93022
79950
36247
118
Madhaugarh
108737
46915
62752
119
Madhuban
86238
56823
54803
120
Mahadewa (SC)
82429
47914
56545
121
Mahoba
88291
56904
41915
122
Maholi
80938
77221
60917
123
Majhawan
107839
44212
66680
124
Malihabad
94677
72009
53481
125
Manjhanpur
92818
33717
88658
126
Marihan
106517
59919
52782
127
Mauranipur
98905
81934
77919
128
Meerapur
69035
68842
39689
129
Meerut South
113225
69117
77830
130
Mehnaun
84304
42526
47926
131
Meja
67807
47964
44622
132
Milak
89861
73194
39271
133
Milkipur
86960
58684
46027
133
Misrikh
86403
61231
65731
134
Mohammdi
93000
59082
57902
135
Moradabad Nagar
123467
120274
24650
136
Mughalsarai
87401
74158
57219
137
Muhammadabad- Gohan (SC)
73493
59871
72955
138
Muzaffar Nagar
97838
87134
21038
139
Nakur
94375
90318
65328
140
Nanpara
86312
67643
25430
141
Naugawan Sadat
97030
76382
40172
142
Nehtaur
76644
53493
47059
143
Noorpur
79172
66436
45902
144
Padrauna
93649
41162
53097
145
Patiyali
72414
68643
44131
146
Patti
75011
73538
46427
147
Phamphamau
83239
57254
51983
148
Pharenda
76312
73958
35765
149
Phephana
70588
52691
50016
150
Phoolpur Pawai
68435
38099
61140
151
Phulpur
93912
67299
50421
152
Pindra
90614
48189
53765
153
Pipraich
82739
51031
69930
154
Purqazi
77491
66238
46401
155
Ram Nagar
88937
66210
53891
156
Rampur Karkhana
62886
52899
22610
157
Rampur Maniharan
76465
61787
75870
158
Raniganj
67031
37816
58022
159
Rasulabad
88390
54996
41060
160
Rudauli
90311
59052
47257
161
Rudhauli
90228
51743
68423
162
Sadar
68950
49692
50177
163
Safipur
84068
48506
56832
164
Sahajanwa
72213
56836
54143
165
Saiyadraja
78869
44832
64375
166
Salempur
76175
50521
28152
167
Salon
78028
61973
39851
168
Sandi
72044
51819
50725
169
Sandila
90362
69959
29223
170
Sardhana
97921
76296
57239
171
Sarojini Nagar
108506
74327
71791
172
Swaijpur
92601
65631
59791
173
Shahabad
99624
15767
95364
174
Shekhupur
93702
70316
64327
175
Shikohabad
87851
77074
37512
176
Shivpur
110453
56194
46657
177
Shrawasti
79437
78992
53014
178
Sikanderpur
69536
45988
34968
179
Sikandra
87879
42010
49776
180
Sikndra Rao
76129
59740
61357
181
Sikandrabad
104956
48910
76333
182
Sirathu
78621
52418
43782
183
Sitapur
98850
74011
52181
184
Siwalkhas
72842
61421
42524
185
Sultanpur
86786
53238
54393
186
Tanda
74768
73043
49526
187
Tilhar
81770
76065
31418
188
Tindwari
82197
44790
42089
189
Tirwa
100426
76217
32036
190
Utraula
85240
56066
44799
191
Zafrabad
85989
61124
45490
192
Zaidpur
111064
81883
48095
193
Zamania
76823
49557
67559
194
Gaura
72455
42600 +2746
38667
195
Khajani
71492
42085+ 4653
51413
196
Koil
93814
42851+ 38623
37909
197
Gaura
72455
42600 +2746
38667
198
Gangoh
99446
47219 + 61418
44717
199
Lucknow Central
78400
73306+12921
24313
200
Sareni
65873
32792+ 42232
52866
201
Tulsipur
62296
36549+ 43637
23273

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